Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003333 0.003496 0.003662 0.003845 0.004041 0.004244 0.004472
2025-06-01 0.003040 0.003282 0.003539 0.003833 0.004162 0.004519 0.004938
2025-06-08 0.002841 0.003125 0.003436 0.003802 0.004223 0.004695 0.005269
2025-06-15 0.002668 0.002979 0.003325 0.003741 0.004232 0.004797 0.005502
2025-06-22 0.002530 0.002859 0.003233 0.003690 0.004241 0.004888 0.005717
2025-06-29 0.002441 0.002790 0.003192 0.003692 0.004306 0.005044 0.006012
2025-07-06 0.002303 0.002655 0.003065 0.003584 0.004229 0.005018 0.006071
2025-07-13 0.002238 0.002603 0.003034 0.003586 0.004286 0.005156 0.006343
2025-07-20 0.002202 0.002585 0.003042 0.003637 0.004402 0.005371 0.006723
2025-07-27 0.002130 0.002519 0.002988 0.003605 0.004409 0.005444 0.006913
2025-08-03 0.002069 0.002463 0.002943 0.003581 0.004425 0.005527 0.007119
2025-08-10 0.002009 0.002407 0.002897 0.003554 0.004434 0.005598 0.007308
2025-08-17 0.001989 0.002401 0.002912 0.003609 0.004554 0.005827 0.007736
2025-08-24 0.001941 0.002357 0.002880 0.003598 0.004585 0.005932 0.007990
2025-08-31 0.001889 0.002307 0.002836 0.003569 0.004589 0.006000 0.008189
2025-09-07 0.001828 0.002244 0.002773 0.003513 0.004552 0.006006 0.008294
2025-09-14 0.001775 0.002189 0.002719 0.003467 0.004525 0.006025 0.008418
2025-09-21 0.001744 0.002162 0.002701 0.003468 0.004567 0.006144 0.008703
2025-09-28 0.001675 0.002083 0.002612 0.003369 0.004460 0.006037 0.008623
2025-10-05 0.001648 0.002059 0.002596 0.003371 0.004500 0.006152 0.008904
2025-10-12 0.001638 0.002058 0.002612 0.003418 0.004605 0.006369 0.009362
2025-10-19 0.001602 0.002020 0.002575 0.003388 0.004596 0.006410 0.009529
2025-10-26 0.001570 0.001988 0.002545 0.003367 0.004599 0.006468 0.009726